6/15/2015 – A negative day with the Dow Jones down 107 points (-0.60%) and the Nasdaq down 19 points (-0.38%)
As the Dow goes negative for the year, most investors are left without a clue as to what happens next.
From one vantage point, we have an overwhelmingly bullish view. Just turn on CNBC and you will see exactly what I am talking about. VIX/VXX are at some of their lowest levels ever, margin debt is at an all time high and speculative spirits are read hot. If fact, according to most investors out there, it is just a matter of time before we break out of this trading range and surge towards the Dow 20K.
At the same time, various fundamental and technical metrics question such an excessive bullish view. Extremely overvalued market, a long period of distribution and numerous technical divergences. Who is right?
It doesn’t matter. The stock market will sell-off and it will have massive rallies. It is all about timing.
‘A crash is coming, and it may be terrific’
Hussman thinks stocks will drop 40%-60% from today’s level. Or more.
He can’t say when — no one can.
I can. To the day. For instance, my subscribers know exactly when this period of low volatility will end.
That is why most traditional financial and stock market analyst fail. They completely ignore 50% of all available information. Right off the bat.
Think about it in the following fashion. Any given stock chart is composed of two variable inputs. TIME and PRICE. Most of today’s financial analyst concentrate on PRICE (even if that). Leaving TIME part of the equation or 50% of data unused. If so, how do they expect to get any sort of an accurate forecast is beyond me.
Point being, it is possible to figure out if we will have a bear market and when.
This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2015-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years. If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2015-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE.
(***Please Note: A bear market might have started already, I am simply not disclosing this information. Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. June 15th, 2015 InvestWithAlex.com
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