Investment Grin Of The Day

investment grin of the day 37

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Investment Grin Of The Day  Google

How Many Burritos Does It Take To……

CMG2

Continuation from yesterday…..

CONCLUSION:

Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) presents us with a perfect case study of what to look for in potential Tenbaggers, when to take position and when to exist.

One of the things we have learned right away is that it wouldn’t be a wise decision to take a position in Chipotle’s stock right after its IPO in January of 2006. That was due to our inability to determine the stock’s structural trading patterns, price doubling at the open and subsequent excessive valuation levels.

Yet, the stock presented us with another buying opportunity at the end of 2008, when the company’s stock price declined 75%. At that time, Chipotle offered us a perfect Tenbagger investment opportunity for the following reasons.

  • Fundamental: Even though Chipotle’s stock collapsed 75% in the midst of the 2007-2009 financial crises, the company itself was doing incredibly well. Opening over 100 new stores, improving margins and growing at 25-30% per year.  What’s more, for the first time since going public, Chipotle’s valuation metrics were not too expensive.
  • Technical:  After establishing a clearly defined down trending channel between its 2007 top and its 2008 bottom, Chipotle’s stock broke out of this channel in the late November of 2008 at $42.20, giving us a clear signal to take a long position.
  • Timing:  An analyst aware of the overall structure of the market would know that a bear market mid cycle leg would terminate in the early 2009. This information alone would ensure that an analyst who was following Chipotle’s stock would be watching closely for an anticipated technical bottom.

It is not often that we get all three disciplines confirming each other.  Yet, when we do, it becomes increasingly easier to take a position as the risk/reward profile clearly benefits an investment. Just as was the case with Chipotle’s stock in November of 2008.

Finally, not only did Chipotle’s stock present us a perfect case study of when to go long in a potential Tenbagger, it also teaches us when to get out. As is the case today.  Making Chipotle’s stock a perfect financial instrument to follow over the next few years.  With an ability to profit on the short side before reversing course at the next bear market bottom to benefit from the next leg up. Perhaps just in time for the next Tenbagger run.

Final Prescription: Fundamental Analysis + Technical Analysis + Timing Analysis = A Massive ROI.

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How Many Burritos Does It Take To…… Google

Is The U.S. Ready For A Nuclear War?

nuclear weapons locationsContinuation from yesterday……..If you still believe that nuclear war is impossible and what had occurred in 1962 is now ancient history, consider what had happened just 30 years ago. On September 26th, 1983, the Soviet Union’s early-warning system detected an incoming ballistic missile launch from the United States. At the time computer readouts suggested that no less than five ICBM’s have been launched by the Americans.  The Russian response should have been clear.  “Dead Hand” protocol instructs Russian military forces to retaliate immediately with an all out nuclear attack of their own.

Yet, the officer of duty, Stanislav Petrov, whose job it was to register apparent enemy missile launches, decided not to report them to his superiors. Instead, dismissing them as a false alarm in what was a major breach of his orders and a dereliction of his duty.

“I had all the data showing an ongoing missile attack. If I had sent my report up the chain of command, nobody would have said a word against it. The siren howled, but I just sat there for a few seconds, staring at the big, back-lit, red screen with the word ‘launch’ on it.  A minute later the siren went off again. The second missile was launched. Then the third, and the fourth, and the fifth. Computers changed their alerts from ‘launch’ to ‘missile strike’. All I had to do was to reach for the phone; to raise the direct line to our top commanders – but I couldn’t move. I felt like I was sitting on a hot frying pan” he told the BBC’s 30 years later.

The system was clear in showing him the “highest” level of alert and there should not have been a doubt that Americans had launched an attack. A quick report up the chain of the command and a push of a few buttons is all that stood in a way of an all out Nuclear War. Subsequent investigation showed that if he was to pick up the phone and present his data, a duty he was required to do, a retaliatory strike would have been immediately approved by the chain of command.  Anyone one else in his seat would have followed directions.  Yet, for some unknown reason Mr. Pertrov did not, saving the world in the process.

While you might believe it is only the Russians who are playing with fire, recent 60 Minutes and other reports showed just how out of touch with reality the U.S. nuclear forces are.  Run by the U.S. Air Force, the American nuclear arsenal readiness and security has been questioned after a number of recent scandals.  Much of the controversy involved test cheating scandals, personal problems, lack of security, complacency, missiles and missile silos that are falling apart and the command/control equipment that hasn’t been updated since the 1970s.

To Be Continued Tomorrow…..(Why Am I Seeing This On A Financial Website?)

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Is The U.S. Ready For A Nuclear War?  Google

Why Janet Yellen Will Be The Most Hated Person In America

daily chart July 30 2014

7/30/2014 – Another mixed day with the Dow Jones down 32 points (-0.19%) and the Nasdaq up 20 points (+0.45%). 

While a lot of market participants expect the market to rise another 25% “Stocks could rise another 25%“, pushing the Dow to 21,000 (yeah right!!!!), Janet Yellen is doing everything in her power to stop the melt up. In fact, with Janet cutting the QE by another $10 Billion earlier today, the stage is being set. In other words, Ms.Yellen just hammered another giant nail into the stock market’s casket.

So, why will Janet Yellen be the most hated person in America?    

In layman’s terms, because by this time time next year 25-50% of your net worth will be gone (thanks to the upcoming real estate and stock market declines) and the US economy will be in a severe recession. Since most people are too stupid to see the big picture, Janet Yellen will be made a scapegoat. Although Mr. Bernanke was the person fully responsible for this particular bubble.

This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. July 30th, 2014 InvestWithAlex.com

Did you enjoy this article? If so, please share our blog with your friends as we try to get traction. Gratitude!!!

Why Janet Yellen Will Be The Most Hated Person In America Google

How Profitable Is Your Passion?

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Continuation from yesterday…….STEP #4. Look At the Things You Know and/or Passionate About First

If you are an accountant don’t look for business ideas in a high tech robotics field and vice versa. Stick to what you know the best. Don’t forget, there are multi-million dollar business opportunities just about anywhere you look. As a matter of fact, it is often the boring industries and not the high tech ones that offer the best opportunities for profit.

Take a look around the industry you are very familiar with and/or have worked in for a long time. What are the sticking points in the industry?  Are customers having problems with the market leaders and if so…why? Are there are new technologies or products that can be introduced into this industry? Etc… There are millions of different questions you can ask in order to generate business ideas from what you are already familiar with. The idea here is very simple. Look for what you can improve on within your field of knowledge or industry and build a profitable business around it.

If you would rather concentrate on your passion, go back to STEP #3. Make sure you know the industry in question inside and out. Read anything and everything you can put your hands on. Even if the entire process takes a few months, the outcome will be well worth it. Not only will you be able to come up with much better ideas within your field of passion, you will also be able to avoid certain pitfalls that might be unique to that particular industry.

PRACTICE #3:

1. Define an area or an industry you would like to concentrate on. Be as specific as possible.

2. If it is your passion and you are not familiar with the industry, spend a few weeks/months reading everything you can in order to educate yourself. This will help you avoid failure.

3. Concentrate your idea generation efforts in STEP #1 on this area of interest.

STEP #5: Study Public Companies and Trade Publications to Determine What Products or Services are Popular within Your Industry or Area of Passion.  

This step is incredibly important on multiple levels.

First, you will be able to ascertain what works and what doesn’t. You will be able to see what products are selling like hotcakes and what products are failing. That in itself should give a number of ideas to concentrate on. Perhaps a similar product or something that could be advantageous to a product that is already popular.  For instance, a new and a unique case product for a popular gadget such as iPhone.  Perhaps a smart phone repair or an insurance service.  Basically, the sky is the limit.

Case Study:  If you are a big fan of coffee, you should be fairly familiar with Keurig line of coffee machines, K-cups and other accessories. As of this writing Keurig Green Mountain, Inc (GMCR) generates close to $4.5 Billion in sales within this product category alone. Yet, this wasn’t always the case.

To Be Continued Tomorrow…..(Why Am I Seeing This On A Financial Website?)

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How Profitable Is Your Passion?Google

Investment Wisdom Of The Day

david tepper“This company looks cheap, that company looks cheap, but the overall economy could completely screw it up. The key is to wait. Sometimes the hardest thing to do is to do nothing.” David Tepper

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Investment Wisdom Of The Day  Google

Is It Time To Short Burritos?….Almost

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Continuation from yesterday…...GETTING IN AND OUT OF THE STOCK

As you very well know and as was suggested before, taking a trading/investment position in a Tenbagger at the appropriate time is only half the battle.  Staying put, increasing your position and not being forced out to sell at the wrong time is the other side of the coin. After all, it wouldn’t be a good idea to take a 100% profit, only to see your stock go up another 20,000% over the next decade. As human beings we are wired to buy and sell at exactly the wrong time. Hence the inability to outperform the market.  When it comes to Tenbaggers we must have a clearly defined set of trading rules that will help us mitigate the risk of being wrong (Please see the Tenbagger Trading Rules & Maximizing Returns chapter).

Yet, it is equally important to know when to get out and when to go short.  In order to protect your profits and to profit from the stocks subsequent decline. In the case of Chipotle, today’s valuation levels and the overall macroeconomic setup present us with a unique opportunity to look at the other side of the coin.

Even though the stock price has appreciated close to 1,500% over the last 5 years and even though the company is performing incredibly well on the fundamental level, Chipotle’s stock is in a very dangerous territory. For a number of reasons.

First, the valuation itself. With a P/E of 62, a P/S ratio of 5.66 and a P/B ratio of 11.70, Chipotle’s stock price trades at levels typically reserved only for extremely fast growing and incredibly profitable tech companies. And while the company is executing very well, today’s price offers no room for a single misstep. In other words, even if the company continues to grow at 25-30% per annum, its stock price today offers very little further upside and way too much risk.

Second, the overall stock market is in a bubble territory as well.  Just as it was at 2000 and 2007 tops. Suggesting that a significant correction is just around the corner.  Typically, when such corrections develop we can anticipate overpriced stocks such as Chipotle to decline at X multiple to the overall market. For instance, when the Dow declined 55% between 2007 and 2009, Chipotle’s stock price declined 75%. Giving it a 1.4X multiple. Suggesting that if the Dow is to go through a 30% correction between 2014 and 2017, Chipotle’s stock could decline as much as 40-50%.

When we put two and two together, it would make perfect sense for investors in Chipotle to exit the stock at this time and to consider going short once the breakdown confirmation is received.  In fact, looking at the chart alone, if the overall stock market is to correct over the next few years as some of my other forecasts suggest, it is highly probable that Chipotle’s stock price will retest its 2012 low of $243. That would mean a 64% collapse in its stock price and within a relatively short period of time.

This presents investors in Chipotle with a unique opportunity to A. Sell at the top B. Profit on a short side of the trade and C. To enter Chipotle’s long side at a much better valuation level at a later point to benefit from the subsequent bounce.  Once again, this concept will be further reviewed in our Tenbagger Trading Rules & Maximizing Returns chapter.

To Be Continued Tomorrow……..

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Is It Time To Short Burritos?….Almost  Google

How One Commie Saved The World

russian submarine

Continuation from yesterday……That is exactly what had happened on October 27th when one brave soul, Vasili Alexandrovich Arkhipov, flat out refused a direct order to launch a nuclear torpedo against the American forces. On that day a group of United States Navy destroyers and the aircraft carrier USS Randolph located the diesel-powered nuclear armed Soviet class Foxtrot submarine B-59 near Cuba.

Despite the submarine being in the international waters, the US Navy started dropping depth charges to force the submarine to surface for identification. What the US Navy didn’t know is that the submarine in question was radio silent, had no contact with Moscow for several days and was too deep to pick up any outside radio traffic. The captain of the submarine, Valentin Savitsky, believing that a war might have already started and that the American Navy was trying to sink his submarine ordered to launch a nuclear torpedo.

At the time three officers on board the submarine had to agree unanimously to authorize the launch. Captain Savitsky, the political officer Ivan Maslennikov and the second in command Arkhipov.  While Savitsky and Maslennokov had agreed to launch a nuclear torpedo against the American forces, Arkhipov firmly stood his ground against it. Eventually persuading the duo to surface and to await further orders from Moscow. That is how close we came last time. One man with the nerves of steel is all that stood in the way of a nuclear holocaust.

How will the nuclear war of 2029-2036 start?

Unfortunately, no one knows as the events surrounding the war can unfold in a billion different ways. It is also important to remember that the conflict will start as a conventional war between the USA/NATO and Russia/China alliance. In fact, it is highly probable that the war will have its early days as some sort of a proxy conflict between the superpowers. A proxy conflict that will eventually turn into a direct war and then into an all out nuclear exchange.

A trigger might be as simple as a number of small skirmishes or a short firefight between a Chinese and an American soldier.  Whatever it might be, the outcome will be the same. Once the nuclear exchange begins, closer to 2036, it will be over for the rest of us.

If you are unaware, the second the first nuclear weapon is used or an ICBM is launched, it assures mutual destruction.  If Moscow decides to launch a single missile against a NATO target, Washington will have to unleash its entire arsenal against Russia. Moscow responds in kind against all NATO, the US and the EU targets in a matter of minutes and by the time the dust settles half of Earth’s population will be turned into ash. With the other half wishing they were dead. A truly troubling proposition.

To Be Continued Tomorrow…...(Why Am I Seeing This On A Financial Website?)

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How One Commie Saved The World Google

Why Real Estate Prices Are Just Starting Their Collapse

daily chart July 29 2014

7/29/2014 – A down day with the Dow Jones down 70 points (-0.42%) and the Nasdaq down 2 points (-0.05%). 

What else can I say, at the risk of sounding like a retarded parrot, the market continues to perform as per our exact internal forecasts. Yet, it has been quite a few weeks since the last time I have kicked the housing market in the nuts. Might as well do it today.

In the early October of 2013 I came out with a startling forecast. At that time I have suggested that the “Dead Cat  Bounce” in the real estate market from 2010 bottom was now over and that the real estate market was about to embark on a massive leg down. Not that dissimilar to what had happened in the stock market between 2007-2009 (mid cycle panic). I have also suggested that while it will be hard to see initially because all real estate is local, by the time we get to October of 2014, the upcoming real estate disaster should be evident to everyone. (you can search the blog from October of 2013 to verify this)

Well, now it is Case-Shiller Home Prices Tumble Most Since Dec 2011, Miss 2nd Month In A Row

When I first forecasted this mid cycle panic in real estate most market participants have assumed that I was on some sort of cocaine binge or have simply gone insane. A typical reaction. Yet, if you are interested in learning what will happen in the real estate market I highly recommend my report Real Estate Collapse 2.0 Why, How & When   What happens next will make the 2006-2010 decline in real estate prices look like a joke.

This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. July 29th, 2014 InvestWithAlex.com

Did you enjoy this article? If so, please share our blog with your friends as we try to get traction. Gratitude!!!


Why Real Estate Prices Are Just Starting Their Collapse  Google

The Shocking Truth Behind Coming Up With Brilliant Ideas

business_ideas

Continuation from yesterday……….

STEP #2: Dismiss Any Notion of a Brilliant or a Perfect Idea

When people begin working on Step #1, one of their primary complaints I hear is that they can’t come up with 8-10 good ideas within a 30 minute time frame. They are missing the entire point.  In most cases people are pushing incredibly hard for that billion dollar idea or that perfect idea that would be easy to execute. They want it now.

I remember receiving an e-mail from Zack about this process when I originally shared this information on one of my blogs in 2012. Zack was angry. He told me, in no uncertain terms, that my idea generation process was absolute garbage and that after two weeks of practice he wasn’t able to come up with a single idea. After inquiring further into Zack’s issue it quickly became apparent that he was trying to come up with 8-10 great business ideas on a daily basis.

Something that is statistically impossible to do.

Please understand something very important. Not every single one of your ideas has to be perfect or even workable. They are also allowed to be crazy, out there, stupid, absurd, laughable, impossible, illegal, etc….. No matter how insane you believe your idea is, put it in your notepad. Worst case scenario, it will allow you to improve on your ideas, the best case, it will unify with one of your other ideas at a later time to create a spark otherwise impossible. And never forget, the world is full of billionaires and millionaires who were laughed at, ridiculed and dismissed as outright crazy. Don’t be afraid to join their company.

STEP #3:  Read, Read, Read and Then Read Some More….

Not only is it good for your overall intelligence, but it is also good for your wallet. As you read industry news, business articles, technology developments, various reports, research papers or whatever else you are interested in, you will be able to start putting things together in your mind in such a way that it will allow you to come up with A LOT of new ideas.

Take Bill Gates for example. While he clearly saw the computer revolution coming in the mid 1970′s, even dropping out of Harvard in order to take advantage of it, very few others saw what he did. Not only did most people think he was crazy, even IBM dismissed his vision for the future as utterly ridiculous. Yet, Bill Gates knew. He spent his formative years in Lakeside school playing with computers and by the time he was 18 he was one of the best programmers in the nation. From his vantage point he could clear see what the future held.

The same process applies to new idea generation. The more you know and in the wider range of fields, the better your ideas will become.  As often is the case, you will be able to connect the dots and see things that other people simply do not see.  While you might not have as much inside information as Bill Gates had, by having a deep pool of knowledge to draw from you will be ahead of 99.99% of the people out there.

Quick Note: Try to stay away from worthless entertainment such as gossip, celebrity news, novels, arguments and other similar writings.

PRACTICE #2: Try to structure your day or your current job in such a fashion that you are able to read as much as you possibly can. Make a conscious effort to increase your knowledge base and it will pay off 10X in the form of much better and much more profitable ideas.

To Be Continued Tomorrow ……(Why Am I Seeing This On  A Financial Website?)

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The Shocking Truth Behind Coming Up With Brilliant Ideas Google

Inspiration Of The Day

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Inspiration Of The Day  Google

How You Could Have Been A Burrito Kingpin

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Continuation from yesterday…….TIMING & MATHEMATICAL ANALYSIS:

As was suggested earlier in the book, both the overall stock market and individual stocks tend to move according to their own cyclical compositions. A number of cyclical examples were given, including a 5-year and a 17-18 year cycles. Showing that the stock market moves in clearly defined patterns.

While it is certainly possible to identify the internal mathematical structure of almost every financial instrument, a long trading history is a must.  In the case of individual stocks, a 15 to 20 year trading history is necessary. Anything less than that would not yield appropriate results.

Since Chipotle’s stock first started trading in January of 2006, it would have been impossible to ascertain the stock’s internal mathematical or timing composition by either 2008 or 2009. Even today.  Yet, despite our inability to figure out what the stock itself would do, we did have the next best thing available to us. The overall stock market.

As Chipotle’s stock price was collapsing in 2008, so was the market. In fact, between October 11th, 2007 and March 6th, 2009 the Dow declined close to 7,500 points or 55%. A massive mid cycle collapse reminiscent of the 1972-1974 and 1907-1908 declines. An analyst working with the overall cyclical composition of the market would be aware of the following facts at the time.

  1. The overall market is tracing out a 17-18 year secular bear market that started in 2000.
  2. The 2007-2009 bear market leg represents a mid cycle collapse where 50% or more declines are typical.
  3. The bull market of October 10th, 2002 to October 11th, 2007 lasted exactly 5 years. Suggesting that the upcoming mid cycle decline would last 1.5-2 years.
  4. Mid cycle bottoms are typically followed by either a 2-year or a 5-year bull market runs.

In other words, an analyst working with the mathematical and cyclical composition of the stock market would have had a very good understanding that the stock market was likely to hit a bottom in the early 2009, followed by a strong rally. This was further confirmed by a number of other indicators converging on March of 2009 as a high probability turning point.  Once again, the methods of analysis that have lead to such a conclusion can be studied further in my other book Timed Value.

When it comes to investing in Chipotle, this type of an analysis would have been of great help for a number of reasons. First, we would have realized that Chipotle’s share price is likely to stage a strong recovery if the market was to turn around and to stage a multi-year bull market rally. Since no fundamental reasons, outside of general overvaluation, existed for the company’s stock price to decline, it would have been logical to assume that Chipotle’s stock price would recover as soon as the market does. Second, the company was growing at a rapid pace despite the economic collapse and was now selling at a reasonable valuation. Finally, an analyst familiar with all of the above would be watching the company’s stock for a clear technical bottom and a confirmation. With a clear intention of purchasing the stock once the confirmation was obtained.

This confirmation was obtained during the 3rd week of November when the company’s stock broke out of its down trending channel at around $42.20. A long position should have been initiated at that time.

The result? 

Chipotle’ stock price had appreciated 1,465% (14.7 bagger) between its February of 2008 bottom and today.

To Be Continued Tomorrow…….

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How You Could Have Been A Burrito Kingpin Google

What Cuban Missile Crisis Can Teach Us About The Nuclear World War 3

cuban blockade

HOW WILL THE WAR START

Continuation from yesterday…….On October 24th, 1962 a convoy of Soviet ships was steaming towards a Cuban port.  In their wake laid a large contingent of the US vessels enforcing the blockade. Everyone was on edge. If the Soviet ships where to cross the blockade line, they would likely have sparked a military confrontation that could have quickly escalated to an all out nuclear exchange. The sense of doom was in the air. So much so that the U.S. Secretary of Defense Robert McNamara was quoted as saying “I thought it was the last Saturday I would ever see.”

A few days prior, on October  14th, 1962, a U-2 spy plane flying over Cuba discovered nuclear missile sites under constructions. Missiles that would have had the capability of reaching the US within minutes. President Kennedy immediately gathered a small group of senior officials to debate the crisis. Known as ExComm, the group met continuously for the next two weeks. Deeply divided between those who wanted a peaceful political solution and those demanding that President Kennedy uses the opportunity to strike at the Soviet Union first.

Eight days later, Kennedy ordered a naval blockade of Cuba while putting all of the U.S. military forces on DEFCON 3. The US B-52 bombers were placed on the highest state of alert, Polaris class submarines were told to expect launch orders and ICBMs were prepared for their countdown sequence. President Kennedy’s adversary Nikita Khrushchev responded by putting Warsaw Pact military forces (Soviet Military Machine) on full battle alert. The U.S. was forced by respond with DEFCON 2.

As the Soviet ships appeared on the horizon the stage was set. If they were to cross the blockade line, the nuclear war was imminent. In fact, both the Soviet Union and the US bombers were already in flight to their respective targets. Both Kennedy and Khrushchev had their finger on the proverbial red button in the highest stakes game of chicken ever played. The world was just a few minutes away from an all out nuclear inhalation.

One simple mistake, one miscommunication, one shot, one dirty look, one wrong word, one loss of communication, one lost nerve or one person buckling under an immense amount of pressure is all that stood between peace and an all out nuclear war.

To Be Continued Tomorrow…..(Why Am I Seeing This On A Financial Website?)

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What Cuban Missile Crisis Can Teach Us About The Nuclear World War 3 Google

How Your Consciousness Can Control Your Reality

Multidimensionality

Continuation from last week……..That is the key. If Julia knew how STRESS really worked she would be able to separate from her thoughts and observer them as an outsider looking in. As if she was watching a move.  She would know that her thoughts are NOT her. She would know that for the most part her thoughts are being randomly generated by her mind in an involuntary fashion.  She would also know that she has the capacity to stop these thoughts. More importantly, she would be aware of the negative spirals associated with such thinking and what to do to stop them in their tracks.  Immediately shifting her state of being from a state of STRESS to the state of happiness, joy and indifference.

CONCLUSION:

This chapter contained a number of incredibly important concepts that we must review before moving on. A clear comprehension of the concepts above will make all the difference in helping you transform STRESS energy into a powerful force that you can then use for other endeavors.

We Are NOT Our Bodies, Minds, Thoughts, Feelings or Emotions:

An important question was asked. “Who are we?” The book displayed evidence that while we are closely associated with our bodies, minds, thoughts, feelings and emotions, we are not physical matter.  The exercise above clearly showed that if are able to observe our own minds and our own thoughts, a third point of reference must be present. Otherwise, any observation would be impossible. That third point of reference is our human consciousness.

Human Consciousness and Having the Ability to Separate From Physical Reality:

It was demonstrated that our consciousness has the ability to be an observer. *Again, if you were not able to become an observer of your own thoughts I highly encourage you to repeat the exercise until you are successful. The ability to observe your own thoughts will give you the understanding that you seek. Further, this separation gives us a deep understanding of what human consciousness is and how the body/mind processes work behind the scenes.

How STRESS Really Works:

We have looked at stress through a number of examples where it was shown that STRESS is triggered by various thought patterns within our own minds. Such thought chains then go on to create negative spirals within our physical and emotional bodies. Causing variant degrees of STRESS as a result.

Ability to Control It:

Finally, it was shown that when we shift into the state of higher consciousness and become observers of our own STRESS energy, we gain the ability to control it. Not only to control it, but to transform it into yet another form of a positive energy.

In the next chapter we will look at the tools necessary not only to control STRESS, but to completely separate from it.

To Be Continued Tomorrow…..(Why Am I Seeing This On A Financial Website?)

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How Your Consciousness Can Control Your Reality  Google

Why The Market Has Gone LOCO

daily chart July 28 2014

7/28/2014 – A mixed day with the Dow Jones up 22 points (+0.13%) and the Nasdaq down 5 points (-0.10%). 

The market continues to perform exactly as per our internal forecasts.  In yet another display of how out of sync with reality the stock market is, the shares El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. (LOCO) surged 43% today alone. Giving the company a valuation level typically reserved for a fast growing tech company. Certainly not a fast food restaurant.

Despite the euphoria, it appears I am not the only bear in woods. A number of other market participant are warning of the same thing. I highly encourage your to read these articles and decide for yourself.

I would have to agree with both. This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. July 28th, 2014 InvestWithAlex.com

Did you enjoy this article? If so, please share our blog with your friends as we try to get traction. Gratitude!!!

Why The Market Has Gone LOCO Google

How To Make Idea Generation A Daily Practice

confused guyLet’s us now shift gears and take a look at what we need to do in order to start generating amazing business ideas.  The steps below are a compilation of what I have used over the last 10 years to develop business ideas that, in one way or another, have added millions to my overall net worth.  In other words, it has worked incredibly well for me and I know, for a fact, that it will work incredibly well for you.

STEP #1: Make Idea Generation a Daily Practice:  

As mention above, idea generation is related to muscle memory. And while your brain is technically not a muscle, its development patterns closely resemble those of other muscles within your body. The more you work on it, the more you study, the more you practice and the more you think, the sharper your brain will become.  In all areas that you concentrate on.  When it comes to developing your business ideas, while you don’t have to spend a lot of time on the process, a consistent 10-30 minute daily effort is necessary.

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For instance, I typically allocate about 15-20 minutes out of my hectic schedule to this practice.  No matter what.  In fact, I have an entire routine developed around the process.  I typically grab a cup of coffee, disconnect from all of my devices, tune everything out and concentrate intensely on developing new ideas over a 20-30 minute period of time.  Yet, I am not just working on “new” business ideas.  I am developing all sorts of new ideas. They might be additional products or services for my existing businesses, various offers, investment opportunities, better marketing processes, new technologies, new partnership, etc…..The spectrum of new ideas is unlimited and should be treated that way.

Plus, the biggest bang for your buck will typically come from combining two “new” seemingly independent ideas into a blockbuster idea your would be unable to develop otherwise. You might have had one idea a few months ago and the more recent idea today. When combined, such ideas might explode into a bowl of fireworks or that extremely profitable business you have always dreamt of. Clearly illustrating, once again, why you should make this a daily practice.

It is also important to understand that it might take a little bit of time and effort on your part to get this process going.  In fact, if you have never done this before, you might find the practice incredibly difficult. Not being able to come up with any ideas at all in the first few days. That is normal. For as long as you dedicate your time and effort to this practice, do not despair, the ideas will come soon enough.  So much so, that within a few months you will be flooded with too many business ideas.

Personally, I make it a point to come up with 8-10 business ideas per day.  I typically do not end my daily idea generation sessions until I hit that point.  You should have the same attitude.  After a few weeks or months of practice coming up with 10 ideas per day shouldn’t be a problem at all. Not only that, as your idea generation muscle gets better, the quality of your ideas will go up as well.  Eventually it will become so easy that various ideas will literally fall from the sky.

Extra Tip: If at all possible I would highly recommend doing this “Daily Idea Practice” first thing in the morning or when your mind is at its freshest.

PRACTICE #1:

Get a notepad and a pen out. Take 30 minutes to write out 10 business ideas within your area of expertise or passion. Do not worry about the quality of your ideas at this juncture. They are allowed and encouraged to be a little insane.

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How To Make Idea Generation A Daily Practice  Google

Investment Grin Of The Day

investment grin of the day 35

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How You Could Have Made A Fortune Investing In Burritos

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TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

Continuation from Friday…….Since our fundamental analysis did yield a strong buy signal for Chipotle’s stock in late 2008 and early 2009, we must now concentrate on the technical side of the equation to see if such a decision would have been confirmed.

As the chart above shows, the company’s stock price collapsed over 75% between December of 2007 and November of 2008. In the midst of the 2007-2009 financial crisis. In fact, Chipotle’s stock price established a clearly defined down trending channel throughout the move. The price then followed this channel all the way down into its 2008 bottom.  The stock price proceeded to bottom at $39 a share and then immediately broke out at around $45 in November of 2008.

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Giving us a clear sign that the stock price might have bottomed. Any analyst following the company should have watched for this development very closely. It would have been the first sign that the stock price has corrected and is in the process of a bounce. While it would be unclear how long the bounce would last, when we combine such information with our mathematical and timing work below, we could have assumed that Chipotle’s stock price was about to stage a massive multi-year rally.

A second entry point opportunity presented itself in March of 2009 when the company’s stock price broke above its previous high at around $65 a share. Further confirming the change in trend and suggesting that the stock price has much more room on the upside.

In conclusion, technical analysis did confirm our fundamental analysis with two clearly defined buy signals. When the stock price first broke out of its down trending channel in November of 2008 and when it pushed above its previous high in March of 2009. Any investor closely following the stock should have been able to take a position in November of 2008 at around $45 a share. Particularly, when you take our mathematical and timing work into consideration.

To Be Continued Tomorrow……

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How You Could Have Made A Fortune Investing In Burritos  Google

The Nuclear War Developments To Anticipate Over The Next 20 Years

nato expansion

Continuation from Friday…….Most people react in one of two ways when they first hear about my prediction. The first group dismisses me with outmost disrespect. They challenge my credibility, call me really nasty names and assure me that in today’s world any nuclear conflict is simply impossible.  In fact, I am certain that at least half of this group believes that I do most of my writing from a mental asylum.

As accurate as their presumption might be, the other half of folks try to assure me that the war is coming much sooner than 2029 and that it has already started.  Believing that the war will come out of the Middle East and Israel.  While it would be impossible to address all of such issues, allow me to leave you with the following thoughts on the subject matter.

First, my time cycle work is as accurate as anyone can get to making future predictions.  After working with such cycles for over 10 years, both long-term and short-term, I have not seen them miss once and I don’t believe they will start now.  And that is going all the way back to 1776.  Second, while wars can spring out over a very short period of time and seemingly out of nowhere, the conditions must right. Such conditions call for a significant amount of discontent and hate between the parties.  While the relationship between the US and Russia/China is heading downhill, it is far from being in a critical phase.  We need another 10-20 years to fully nurture the hate between the parties and to brainwash the populations.

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Here are the developments we have to look for over the next 20 years.

  • The relationship between the USA and Russia will deteriorate significantly.
  • NATO will continue with its attempts to move right next to the Russian border.  Further destabilizing the region in the process.
  • Western Media and political leaders will continue to accelerate their propaganda portrayal of Russia as an “Evil Empire” with a madman (Putin) at the helm.  Putin will portray the US in the very same fashion.
  • China will face a massive financial crisis due to its housing, shadow banking, credit and economic bubbles. Resulting unrest might lead to an all out regime change.
  • China will continue to exert its dominance in the South Pacific Region while building a powerful military machine. Pushing the US and China relationship to a new low.
  • The relationship between Russia and China will continue to improve.
  • Russia and China will be forced to form military alliance to counterbalance NATO.

As soon as points above are fulfilled, particularly the last one, know that the war is drawing closer. In the next section we will take a brief look at how the war might start.

To Be Continued Tomorrow…..(Why Am I Seeing This On A Financial Site?)

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The Nuclear War Developments To Anticipate Over The Next 20 Years Google

Financial Media Fools Do It Again.

daily chart July 25 2014

A strong down day with the Dow Jones down 123 points (-0.72%) and the Nasdaq down 22 points (-0.50%). 

The market continues to trade as per our exact internal forecasts. The video below is indicative of where the market is today. I am neither a bull nor a bear. Yet, when the markets are selling at spectacular valuation levels and the financial media fools have the audacity to make fun of well researched bearish positions, well, you know what happens next. One thing is certain, once the market initiates its bear market sequence, remaining bears should not have a problem making their money back……..and then some.

This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. July 25th, 2014 InvestWithAlex.com

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