2/18/2015 – A mixed day with the Dow Jones down 18 points (-0.10%) and the Nasdaq up 7 points (+0.14%)
The stock market continues to behave as forecasts. There is a reason why it is fairly dead at this stage. If you would like to find out what happens next and when, please Click Here.
First, the FED Minutes. Not much new to report as there was no change to their stance. Here is a more detailed look and summary Instant View: Federal Reserve minutes suggest slow path to rate hikes
As I have suggested so many times before, the FED finds itself between a rock and a hard place. Should they initiate interest rate hikes they will immediately slam both the US Economy and our capital markets. On the flip side, should they wait, they will miss an opportunity re-load on recession fighting tools before the next one strikes. Such is the folly of having a patient hooked of the heroin of credit. When the withdrawal hits, and one way or another it will, expect the stock market to crumble. The only question is WHEN?
Speaking of, a number of top hedge fund managers, including Soros, are lightening up on their US exposure. Billionaire Soros Shifts Money to Europe, Asia And while their reallocation away from the US equity markets might appear marginal and strategic, you might want to read between the lines. What they are saying is….
- The US market is either fully valued or overvalued.
- Better opportunities elsewhere.
Meaning, don’t expect any worthwhile returns from the US stock market going forward. I will go even further. Anticipate a substantial correction over the next few years. To the likes of 2000-2002 decline on the Dow.
This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2014/15-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years. If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014/15-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE.
(***Please Note: A bear market might have started already, I am simply not disclosing this information. Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. February 18th, 2015 InvestWithAlex.com
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Top Hedge Fund Managers Are Moving Out Of The US Markets. Should You?Google