Weekly Stock Market Update & Forecast – June 16th, 2017

State of the Market Address:

  • The Dow remains well above 21,000.
  • Shiller's Adjusted S&P P/E ratio is now at 29.81.  Arguably the highest level in history (if we adjust for 2000 distortions) and now above 1929 top of 29.55.
  • Weekly RSI at 72.69 - neutral. Daily RSI is at 68.59 - neutral.
  • Prior years corrections terminated at around 200 day moving average. Located at around 17,650 today (on weekly).
  • Weekly Stochastics at 97.81 - overbought. Daily at 95.76-overbought.
  • NYSE McClellan Oscillator is at -3. Neutral.
  • Volatility measures VIX/VXX are once again sitting at or near their historic lows. Commercial VIX long interest was identical to last week. Now at 90K contracts net long. We should see volatility long interest higher over the next few weeks. 
  • Last week's CTO Reports suggest that commercials (smart money) are shifting their positioning to net short. Short interest has increased slightly during the week. For now, the Dow is 3.5X, the S&P is at 2X, Russell 2000 is at 3X and the Nasdaq is at 4X short. That is a significant short position against the market.

In summary: For the time being and long-term, the market remains in a clear bull trend. Yet, a number of longer-term indicators suggest the market might experience a substantial correction ahead.  Plus, the "smart money" is positioning for some sort of a sell-off.


ELLIOTT WAVE UPDATE:

Since many people have asked, I will attempt to give you my interpretation of Elliott Wave and how it is playing out in the market. First, I must admit. I don’t claim to be an EW expert, but I hope my “standard” interpretation is of help.

Let’s take a look at the most likely recent count on the S&P.

Explanation:

Long-Term: It appears the S&P is quickly approaching the termination point of its (5) wave up off of 2009 bottom. If true,we should see a massive sell-off later this year.

Short-Term: It appears the S&P might have completed its intermediary wave 3 and now 4. It appears the market is now pushing higher to complete wave 5 of (5). If true, the above count should terminate the bull market.
If you would like to find out exactly what happens next based on our Timing and Mathematical work, please Click Here. 


ATTENTION!!! Please note, we have moved most of our free editorial content to our new website MarketSpartans.com Please Click Here to view it.


Daily Stock Market Update & Forecast – June 15th, 2017 – Elliott Wave Edition

ELLIOTT WAVE UPDATE:

Since many people have asked, I will attempt to give you my interpretation of Elliott Wave and how it is playing out in the market. First, I must admit. I don’t claim to be an EW expert, but I hope my “standard” interpretation is of help.

Let’s take a look at the most likely recent count on the S&P.

Explanation:

Long-Term: It appears the S&P is quickly approaching the termination point of its (5) wave up off of 2009 bottom. If true,we should see a massive sell-off later this year.

Short-Term: It appears the S&P might have completed its intermediary wave 3 and now 4. It appears the market is now pushing higher to complete wave 5 of (5). If true, the above count should terminate the bull market.
If you would like to find out exactly what happens next based on our Timing and Mathematical work, please Click Here. 


ATTENTION!!! Please note, we have moved most of our free editorial content to our new website MarketSpartans.com Please Click Here to view it.


Daily Stock Market Update & Forecast – June 12th, 2017

State of the Market Address:

  • The Dow is once again above 21,000.
  • Shiller's Adjusted S&P P/E ratio is now at 29.79.  Arguably the highest level in history (if we adjust for 2000 distortions) and now above 1929 top of 29.55.
  • Weekly RSI at 70 - neutral. Daily RSI is at 63.07 - neutral.
  • Prior years corrections terminated at around 200 day moving average. Located at around 17,600 today (on weekly).
  • Weekly Stochastics at 95.55 - overbought. Daily at 87.03-overbought.
  • NYSE McClellan Oscillator is at +10. Neutral.
  • Volatility measures VIX/VXX are once again sitting at or near their historic lows. Commercial VIX long interest was slightly higher this week Now at 90K contracts net long. We should see volatility long interest higher over the next few weeks. 
  • Last week's CTO Reports suggest that commercials (smart money) are shifting their positioning to net short. Short interest has increased slightly during the week. For now, the Dow is 3.5X, the S&P is at 2X, Russell 2000 is at 2X and the Nasdaq is at 5X short. That is a significant short position against the market.

In summary: For the time being and long-term, the market remains in a clear bull trend. Yet, a number of longer-term indicators suggest the market might experience a substantial correction ahead.  Plus, the "smart money" is positioning for some sort of a sell-off.

If you would like to find out exactly what happens next based on our Timing and Mathematical work, please Click Here. 


ATTENTION!!! Please note, we have moved most of our free editorial content to our new website MarketSpartans.com Please Click Here to view it.


Weekly Stock Market Update & Forecast – June 2nd, 2017

State of the Market Address:

  • The Dow is once again above 21,000.
  • Shiller's Adjusted S&P P/E ratio is now at 29.88.  Arguably the highest level in history (if we adjust for 2000 distortions) and now above 1929 top of 29.55.
  • Weekly RSI at 70.31 - neutral. Daily RSI is at 64.75 - neutral.
  • Prior years corrections terminated at around 200 day moving average. Located at around 17,500 today (on weekly).
  • Weekly Stochastics at 81.16 - neutral. Daily at 92.89 -overbought.
  • NYSE McClellan Oscillator is at +25. Neutral.
  • Volatility measures VIX/VXX are once again sitting at or near their historic lows. Commercial VIX long interest was slightly higher this week Now at 77K contracts net long. We should see volatility long interest higher over the next few weeks. 
  • Last week's CTO Reports suggest that commercials (smart money) are shifting their positioning to net short. Short interest has increased slightly during the week. Once again, due to profit taking. We should expect higher short interest numbers at the end of next week. For now, the Dow is 3.5X, the S&P is at 2X, Russell 2000 is at 2X and the Nasdaq is at 3X short. That is a significant short position against the market.

In summary: For the time being and long-term, the market remains in a clear bull trend. Yet, a number of longer-term indicators suggest the market might experience a substantial correction ahead.  Plus, the "smart money" is positioning for some sort of a sell-off.

ELLIOTT WAVE UPDATE:

Since many people have asked, I will attempt to give you my interpretation of Elliott Wave and how it is playing out in the market. First, I must admit. I don’t claim to be an EW expert, but I hope my “standard” interpretation is of help.

Let’s take a look at the most likely recent count on the S&P.

Explanation:

Long-Term: It appears the S&P is quickly approaching the termination point of its (5) wave up off of 2009 bottom. If true,we should see a massive sell-off later this year.

Short-Term: It appears the S&P might have completed its intermediary wave 3 and now 4. It appears the market is now pushing higher to complete wave 5 of (5). If true, the above count should terminate the bull market.
If you would like to find out exactly what happens next based on our Timing and Mathematical work, please Click Here. 


ATTENTION!!! Please note, we have moved most of our free editorial content to our new website MarketSpartans.com Please Click Here to view it.


Daily Stock Market Update & Forecast – May 31st, 2017 – Elliott Wave Edition

ELLIOTT WAVE UPDATE:

Since many people have asked, I will attempt to give you my interpretation of Elliott Wave and how it is playing out in the market. First, I must admit. I don’t claim to be an EW expert, but I hope my “standard” interpretation is of help.

Let’s take a look at the most likely recent count on the S&P.

Explanation:

Long-Term: It appears the S&P is quickly approaching the termination point of its (5) wave up off of 2009 bottom. If true,we should see a massive sell-off later this year.

Short-Term: It appears the S&P might have completed its intermediary wave 3. If so, the market is now correcting in an intermediary wave 4. Once wave 4 is completed, the market will  push higher, perhaps to a new all time high in wave 5 of (5). If true, the above count should terminate the bull market.
If you would like to find out exactly what happens next based on our Timing and Mathematical work, please Click Here. 


ATTENTION!!! Please note, we have moved most of our free editorial content to our new website MarketSpartans.com Please Click Here to view it.


Daily Stock Market Update & Forecast – April 6th, 2017 – Elliott Wave Edition

ELLIOTT WAVE UPDATE:

Since many people have asked, I will attempt to give you my interpretation of Elliott Wave and how it is playing out in the market. First, I must admit. I don’t claim to be an EW expert, but I hope my “standard” interpretation is of help.

Let’s take a look at the most likely recent count on the S&P.

Explanation:

Long-Term: It appears the S&P is quickly approaching the termination point of its (5) wave up off of 2009 bottom. If true,we should see a massive sell-off later this year.

Short-Term: It appears the S&P might have completed its intermediary wave 3. If so, the market is now correcting in an intermediary wave 4. Once wave 4 is completed, the market will  push higher, perhaps to a new all time high in wave 5 of (5). If true, the above count should terminate the bull market.
If you would like to find out exactly what happens next based on our Timing and Mathematical work, please Click Here. 


ATTENTION!!! Please note, we have moved most of our free editorial content to our new website MarketSpartans.com Please Click Here to view it.


Daily Stock Market Update & Forecast – April 4th, 2017 – Elliott Wave Edition

ELLIOTT WAVE UPDATE:

Since many people have asked, I will attempt to give you my interpretation of Elliott Wave and how it is playing out in the market. First, I must admit. I don’t claim to be an EW expert, but I hope my “standard” interpretation is of help.

Let’s take a look at the most likely recent count on the S&P.

Explanation:

Long-Term: It appears the S&P is quickly approaching the termination point of its (5) wave up off of 2009 bottom. If true,we should see a massive sell-off later this year.

Short-Term: It appears the S&P might have completed its intermediary wave 3. If so, the market is now correcting in an intermediary wave 4. Once wave 4 is completed, the market will  push higher, perhaps to a new all time high in wave 5 of (5). If true, the above count should terminate the bull market.

If you would like to find out exactly what happens next based on our Timing and Mathematical work, please Click Here. 


ATTENTION!!! Please note, we have moved most of our free editorial content to our new website MarketSpartans.com Please Click Here to view it.


Daily Stock Market Update & Forecast – March 27th, 2017

State of the Market Address:

  • The Dow continues its sell-off.
  • Shiller's Adjusted S&P P/E ratio is now at 28.76 Arguably the second highest level in history (if we adjust for 2000 distortions) and right behind 1929 top at 29.55.
  • Weekly RSI at 66.44. Remains at overbought levels. Daily RSI is at 49.19 - neutral.
  • Prior years corrections terminated at around 200 day moving average. Located at around 17,300 today (on weekly).
  • Weekly stochastics at 67.70. Approaching neutral levels. Daily at 18.74 - oversold.
  • NYSE McClellan Oscillator is at -9. Neutral
  • VIX/VXX remain near their historic lows. Commercial VIX long interest jumped higher and remains at near record levels. Now at 117K contracts net long. 
  • Last week's CTO Reports suggest that commercials (smart money) are shifting their positioning to net short.  In fact, short interest jumped dramatically as compared to last week. For instance, the Dow is 8X, the S&P is at 2X, Russell 2000 is at 2X and the Nasdaq is at 6X short. That is a significant short position against the market.

In summary: For the time being the market remains in a clear bull trend. Yet, a number of longer-term indicators suggest the market might experience a substantial correction ahead. The market remains at extreme valuation levels and severely overbought on both daily and weekly charts. Plus, the "smart money" is positioning for some sort of a sell-off.

If you would like to find out exactly what happens next based on our Timing and Mathematical work, please Click Here. 


ATTENTION!!! Please note, we have moved most of our free editorial content to our new website MarketSpartans.com Please Click Here to view it.


Daily Stock Market Update & Forecast – March 22nd, 2017

State of the Market Address:

  • The Dow remains below 21,000.
  • Shiller's Adjusted S&P P/E ratio is now at 28.97 Arguably the second highest level in history (if we adjust for 2000 distortions) and right behind 1929 top at 29.55.
  • Weekly RSI at 69.49. At severely overbought levels. Daily RSI is at 46.35 - more or less neutral.
  • Prior years corrections terminated at around 200 day moving average. Located at around 17,300 today (on weekly).
  • Weekly stochastics at 78.49. Overbought level associated with prior market peaks. Daily at 17.93 - oversold.
  • VIX/VXX either at or approaching their historic lows. Commercial VIX long interest is slightly lower, but still near record levels. Now at 104K contracts net long. 
  • Last week's CTO Reports suggest that commercials (smart money) are shifting their positioning to net short.  For instance, the Dow is 5X, the S&P is at 2X, Russell 2000 is at 2X and the Nasdaq is at 1X short. That is a significant short position against the market.

In summary: For the time being the market remains in a clear bull trend. Yet, a number of longer-term indicators suggest the market might experience a substantial correction ahead. The market remains at extreme valuation levels and severely overbought on both daily and weekly charts. Plus, the "smart money" is positioning for some sort of a sell-off.

If you would like to find out exactly what happens next based on our Timing and Mathematical work, please Click Here. 


ATTENTION!!! Please note, we have moved most of our free editorial content to our new website MarketSpartans.com Please Click Here to view it.


Daily Stock Market Update & Forecast – March 20th, 2017

State of the Market Address:

  • The Dow remains below 21,000.
  • Shiller's Adjusted S&P P/E ratio is now at 29.30 Arguably the second highest level in history (if we adjust for 2000 distortions) and right behind 1929 top at 29.55.
  • Weekly RSI at 77.11. At severely overbought levels. Daily RSI is at 63.08 - more or less neutral.
  • Prior years corrections terminated at around 200 day moving average. Located at around 17,300 today (on weekly).
  • Weekly stochastics at 84. Overbought level associated with prior market peaks. Daily at 36.14- neutral.
  • VIX/VXX either at or approaching their historic lows. Commercial VIX long interest is slightly lower, but still near record levels. Now at 104K contracts net long. 
  • Last week's CTO Reports suggest that commercials (smart money) are shifting their positioning to net short.  For instance, the Dow is 5X, the S&P is at 2X, Russell 2000 is at 2X and the Nasdaq is at 1X short. That is a significant short position against the market.

In summary: For the time being the market remains in a clear bull trend. Yet, a number of longer-term indicators suggest the market might experience a substantial correction ahead. The market remains at extreme valuation levels and severely overbought on both daily and weekly charts. Plus, the "smart money" is positioning for some sort of a sell-off.

If you would like to find out exactly what happens next based on our Timing and Mathematical work, please Click Here. 


ATTENTION!!! Please note, we have moved most of our free editorial content to our new website MarketSpartans.com Please Click Here to view it.