Daily Stock Market Update & Forecast – November 21st, 2017 – Elliott Wave Edition

ELLIOTT WAVE UPDATE:

Since many people have asked, I will attempt to give you my interpretation of Elliott Wave and how it is playing out in the market. First, I must admit. I don’t claim to be an EW expert, but I hope my “standard” interpretation is of help.

Let’s take a look at the most likely recent count on the S&P.

Explanation:

Long-Term: It appears the S&P is quickly approaching the termination point of its (5) wave up off of 2009 bottom. If true,we should see a massive sell-off later this year. Did it already complete? Click Here

Short-Term: It appears the S&P might have completed its intermediary wave 3 and now 4. It appears the market is now pushing higher to complete wave 5 of (5). If true, the above count should terminate the bull market. Did it already complete? Click Here

If you would like to find out exactly what happens next based on our Timing and Mathematical work, please Click Here. 


ATTENTION!!! Please note, we have moved most of our free editorial content to our new website MarketSpartans.com Please Click Here to view it.

Bitcoin Investors Expect To See $10,000 By 2019 – We Ask, Why Not Next Tuesday

As I technician I don't recall seeing a chart similar to the chart above that did not subsequently correct or collapse in a stunning fashion. Let's review the latest on the cryptocurrency.....

Bitcoin passed $8,000 as institutional money inches closer to cryptocurrency markets

One indicator is the increasing popularity of bitcoin futures. Over the weekend, the first year-long contract for the price of bitcoin was agreed by traders on the LedgerX platform, an issuer of derivatives regulated in the US. The contract is an option to buy bitcoin at $10,000 by Dec. 28, 2018.

Great. More leverage and speculation is being added into the mix. What can possibly go wrong.

The Currency Of The Apocalypse’? Doomsday Preppers Flock To Bitcoin As It Surges Past $8000

“Not too long ago, people in the prepper community were actively warning against crypto, and now they’re all investing in it,” said Tom Martin, a truck driver from Washington who runs a social-media website for people interested in learning skills to survive disaster. “As long as the grid stays up, people will keep using bitcoin.”

As Forest Gump used to say "Stupid is as stupid does". You would figure the last place these Doomsday Preppers would want to invest in is Bitcoin. It is hard to imagine that the grid would stay up and the value of Bitcoin doesn't go to zero in case of an EMP on Nuclear strike. Good luck exchanging your digital coins for carrots then.

Jim Rogers says bitcoin ‘looks and smells’ like all other investment bubbles

Bitcoin has performed amazingly well, so it’s tempting to buy. Don’t bother, says Rogers. “It looks and smells like all the bubbles I have seen throughout history.” True, bubbly assets can continue to march higher than any rational person imagines possible. So there could be further gains. But messing around with bubbles is risky. Better to just stay away. “I have missed it, whatever it is,” Rogers says.

Mr.Rogers is dead on, about "whatever it is".  We continue to maintain that Bitcoin has no real value. Yes, we are aware of all the arguments for and against it, yet the currency is only worth what the next person is willing to pay for it. Or in this case, what the next fool is willing to pay for it.

And while this insanity might go on for a few more years, history will not be kind to Bitcoin and its investors. 

Daily Stock Market Update & Forecast – November 20th, 2017

- State of the Market Address:

  • The Dow remains well above 23,000.
  • Shiller's Adjusted S&P P/E ratio is now at 31.51 Now at arguably the highest level in history (if we adjust for 2000 distortions) and still above 1929 top of 29.55.
  • Weekly RSI at 77 - overbought. Daily RSI is at 59- neutral.
  • Prior years corrections terminated at around 200 day moving average. Located at around 18,300 today (on weekly).
  • Weekly Stochastics at 90 - overbought. Daily at 48 - neutral.
  • NYSE McClellan Oscillator is at +3. Neutral.
  • Volatility measures VIX/VXX remains at suppressed levels. Commercial VIX long interest declined slightly to 75K contracts net long. 
  • Last week's CTO Reports suggest that commercials (smart money) are shifting their positioning back to net short. Short interest has shifted slightly lower during the week. For now, the Dow is 7X, the S&P is at 2X net short, Russell 2000 is now at 5.5X net short and the Nasdaq is net neutral.

In summary: For the time being and long-term, the market remains in a clear bull trend. Yet, a number of longer-term indicators suggest the market might experience a substantial correction ahead.  Plus, the "smart money" is positioning for some sort of a sell-off.

If you would like to find out exactly what happens next based on our Timing and Mathematical work, please Click Here. 


ATTENTION!!! Please note, we have moved most of our free editorial content to our new website MarketSpartans.com Please Click Here to view it.


Weekly Stock Market Update & Forecast – November 17th, 2017

- State of the Market Address:

  • The Dow remains well above 23,000.
  • Shiller's Adjusted S&P P/E ratio is now at 31.51 Now at arguably the highest level in history (if we adjust for 2000 distortions) and still above 1929 top of 29.55.
  • Weekly RSI at 76 - overbought. Daily RSI is at 55- neutral.
  • Prior years corrections terminated at around 200 day moving average. Located at around 18,300 today (on weekly).
  • Weekly Stochastics at 93 - overbought. Daily at 33 - neutral.
  • NYSE McClellan Oscillator is at -7. Neutral.
  • Volatility measures VIX/VXX remains at suppressed levels. Commercial VIX long interest declined slightly to 75K contracts net long. 
  • Last week's CTO Reports suggest that commercials (smart money) are shifting their positioning back to net short. Short interest has shifted slightly lower during the week. For now, the Dow is 7X, the S&P is at 2X net short, Russell 2000 is now at 5.5X net short and the Nasdaq is net neutral.

In summary: For the time being and long-term, the market remains in a clear bull trend. Yet, a number of longer-term indicators suggest the market might experience a substantial correction ahead.  Plus, the "smart money" is positioning for some sort of a sell-off.

If you would like to find out exactly what happens next based on our Timing and Mathematical work, please Click Here. 


ATTENTION!!! Please note, we have moved most of our free editorial content to our new website MarketSpartans.com Please Click Here to view it.


ELLIOTT WAVE UPDATE:

Since many people have asked, I will attempt to give you my interpretation of Elliott Wave and how it is playing out in the market. First, I must admit. I don’t claim to be an EW expert, but I hope my “standard” interpretation is of help.

Let’s take a look at the most likely recent count on the S&P.

Explanation:

Long-Term: It appears the S&P is quickly approaching the termination point of its (5) wave up off of 2009 bottom. If true,we should see a massive sell-off later this year. Did it already complete? Click Here

Short-Term: It appears the S&P might have completed its intermediary wave 3 and now 4. It appears the market is now pushing higher to complete wave 5 of (5). If true, the above count should terminate the bull market. Did it already complete? Click Here

If you would like to find out exactly what happens next based on our Timing and Mathematical work, please Click Here. 


ATTENTION!!! Please note, we have moved most of our free editorial content to our new website MarketSpartans.com Please Click Here to view it.

Trade Of The Day – The Japanese Yen (JPY)

The Japanese Yen has been compressing into a massive long-term wedge over the last 6 years and it is getting exciting. With the wedge terminating over the next few months, the next move in the currency will be massive. Up or down. This move, of course, will have significant impact on the US stock market. If you would like to find out which way this powerful compression will break and when, please Click Here.